Evaluation of factors affecting the number of traffic accidents
Piotr Gorzelanczyk
Państwowa Uczelnia Stanisława Staszica w PilePiotr Piątkowski
Koszalin University of TechnologyAbstract
Year after year, the number of traffic accidents is decreasing. This value in recent years has been influenced mainly by the pandemic. However, the value is still very high. For this reason, every effort should be made to reduce the number of traffic accidents. The purpose of this article is to evaluate the factors affecting the number of traffic accidents according to weather conditions. For this purpose, a random selection was made of 10 measurement points in Poland, for which the following parameters were analyzed: traffic volume on the road and the number of accidents at the analyzed points. Based on the study, it can be concluded that the number of road accidents is most influenced by factors such as good weather conditions, as well as cloudy and rainy days. In addition, based on the study, the weights of factors affecting the number of traffic accidents are as follows: good weather 0.5406; rain 0.1529; cloudy 0, 3065.
Keywords:
road accident, weather conditions, PolandReferences
AMINI R.E., KATRAKAZAS C., ANTONIOU C. 2019. Negotiation and Decision-Making for a Pedestrian Roadway Crossing: A Literature Review. Sustainability, 11(23): 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11236713 Google Scholar
BĄK-GAJDA D., BĄK J. 2010. Psychologia transportu i bezpieczeństwa ruchu drogowego. Difin, Warszawa. Google Scholar
BECKER N., RUST H.W., ULBRICH U. 2020. Predictive Modeling of Hourly Probabilities for Weather-Related Road Accidents. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 10. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2020-10 Google Scholar
BRODSKY H., HAKKERT A.S. 1988. Risk of a Road Accident in Rainy Weather. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 20(2): 161-176. Google Scholar
EISENBERG D. 2004. The Mixed effects of Precipitation on Traffic Accidents. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 36(4): 637-647. Google Scholar
FAVARÒ F.M., NADER N., EURICH S.O., TRIPP M., VARADARAJU N. 2017. Examining Accident Reports Involving Autonomous Vehicles in California. PLOS ONE, 12(9): 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0184952 Google Scholar
FRIDSTRØM L., IFVER J., INGEBRIGTSEN S., KULMALA R., THOMSEN L.K. 1995. Measuring the Contribution of Randomness, Exposure, Weather, and Daylight to the Variation in Road Accident Counts. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 27(1): 1-20. Google Scholar
GĄDEK-HAWLENA T., LOS M. 2018. Modern Solutions in Heavy Duty Vehicles and Their Impact. Science Notebooks. Economics and Organization of Logistics, 3(3). Google Scholar
Generalny Pomiar Ruchu (GPR) [General Traffic Measurement (GPR)]. 2023. Warszawa. Retrieved from Warszawa. Retrieved from https://www.gov.pl/web/gddkia/generalna-dyrekcja-drog-krajowych-i-autostrad (access 30.06.2023). Google Scholar
Global Status Report on Road Safety 2023. 2024. World Health Organization, Department of Violence and Injury Prevention and Disability, Geneva. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240086517 (access 31.05.2024). Google Scholar
Goggle Maps. Retrieved from https://www.google.pl/maps/preview (access 30.06.2023). Google Scholar
HAFEEZ F., SHEIKH U.U., AL-SHAMMARI S., HAMID M., KHAKWANI A.B.K., ARFEEN Z.A. 2023. Comparative Analysis of Influencing Factors on Pedestrian Road Accidents. Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, 12(1): 257-267. https://doi.org/10.11591/eei.v12i1.4312 Google Scholar
HAYAT R., DEBBARH M., ANTONIOU C., YANNIS G. 2013. Explaining the Road Accident Risk: Weather Effects. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 60: 456-465. Google Scholar
HERMANS E., BRIJS T., STIERS T., OFFERMANS C. 2006. The Impact of Weather Conditions on Road Safety Investigated on an Hourly Basis. Proc. 85th Transportation Research Board (TRB) Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C. Google Scholar
HOLLAND C., HILL R. 2006. The Effect of Age, Gender and Driver Status on Pedestrians’ Intentions to Cross the Road in Risky Situations. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(2): 224-237. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2006.07.003 Google Scholar
KARLAFTIS M., YANNIS G. 2010. Weather Effects on Daily Traffic Accidents and Fatalities: A Time Series Count Data Approach. Proc. 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C. Google Scholar
KLEPACKI B., KOPER B. 2018. Road Safety in the Opinion of Its Participants. Science Notebooks. Economics and Organization of Logistics, 3(3). Google Scholar
KRZYCZKOWSKA Z. 2019. Przy jakiej pogodzie najczęściej dochodzi do wypadków? Wcale nie podczas złych warunków. Moto.pl. Retrieved from https://moto.pl/MotoPL/7,88389,25510393,przy-jakiej-pogodzie-najczesciej-dochodzi-do-wypadkow-wcale.html (access 30.06.2023). Google Scholar
MASELLO L., CASTIGNANI G., SHEEHAN B., MURPHY F., MCDONNELL K. 2022. On the Road Safety Benefits of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems in Different Driving Contexts. Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 15: 100670. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2022.100670 Google Scholar
MESQUITELA J., ELVAS L.B., FERREIRA J.C., NUNES L. 2022. Data Analytics Process over Road Accidents Data – A Case Study of Lisbon City. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 11, 143. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi11020143 Google Scholar
MILLS B., ANDREY J., DOBERSTEIN B., DOHERTY S., YESSIS J. 2019. Changing Patterns of Motor Vehicle Collision Risk During Winter Storms: A New Look at a Pervasive Problem. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 127: 186-197, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2019.02.027 Google Scholar
ORŁOWSKI Ł., WSZEBOROWSKI R. 2020. Safety in Road Traffic. Safety in Road Traffic Logistic Systems of the Army, 53. https://doi.org/10.37055/slw/133858 Google Scholar
PAŁĘGA M. 2017. Traffic Safety in Poland in the Light of Road Accidents and Their Consequences. AUTOBUSY – Technika, Eksploatacja, Systemy Transportowe, 18(12): 332-337. Google Scholar
RAFALSKI L. 2012. Bezpieczeństwo ruchu drogowego w Polsce ze szczególnym uwzględnieniem pojazdów ciężkich. Conference: Bezpieczeństwo w transporcie drogowym i kolejowym, vol. 1. Warszawa. https://doi.org/10.13140/2.1.1013.5683 Google Scholar
Road Safety Statistics in the EU. 2023. Eurostat Statistics Explained. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Road_safety_statistics_in_the_EU&oldid=630784 (access 31.05.2024). Google Scholar
SABIR M. 2011. Weather and Travel Behaviour. Ph. D. Dissertation. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam. Google Scholar
SCOTT P. 1986. Modelling Time-Series of British Road Accident Data. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 18(2): 109-117. Google Scholar
WACHNICKA J. 2012. Research on Factors Influencing Road Traffic Safety in Provinces. Transport Miejski i Regionalny, 4. Google Scholar
WICHER J. 2012. Car and Road Safety. Publishing House of Communication and Communications, Warszawa. Google Scholar
WOJTAS A., SZKODA M. 2018. Analysis of Selected Factors Affecting Safety in Road Traffic. AUTOBUSY – Technika, Eksploatacja, Systemy Transportowe, 19(6): 1149-1154. https://doi.org/10.24136/atest.2018.244 Google Scholar
Wypadki drogowe - raporty roczne. 2023. Policja.pl, Statystyka. Ruch Drogowy. Retrieved from https://statystyka.policja.pl/st/ruch-drogowy/76562,Wypadki-drogowe-raporty-roczne.html (access 30.06.2023). Google Scholar
YANNIS G., PAPADIMITRIOU E. 2021. Road Traffic Safety. International Encyclopedia of Transport, 2021: 51-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-102671-7.10613-X Google Scholar
ZBYSZYŃSKI M. 2017. Safety of Unprotected Road Traffic Participants – Present and Future Status. Motor Transport Magazine, 1: 49-64. Google Scholar
ZHAI X., HUANG H. SZE N.N., SONG Z. HON K.K. 2019. Diagnostic Analysis of the Effects of Weather Condition on Pedestrian Crash Severity. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 122: 318-324. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2018.10.017 Google Scholar
Państwowa Uczelnia Stanisława Staszica w Pile
Koszalin University of Technology
