Fiscal Policy and Regional Business Cycles in Poland

Kamil Kotliński

Department of Macroeconomics, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn

Rafał Warżała

Department of Macroeconomics, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn


Resumen

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the adequacy of discretionary fiscal policy, implemented at the national level, on the course of regional business fluctuations in Poland. Research is conducted as follows: identification of regional business cycles, identification of national fiscal policy as restrictive or expansive, and comparison of fiscal policy adequacy and phases of regional business cycles. In order to separate a cyclical factor from the empirical data, the Christiano-Fitzgerald asymmetrical filter was exploited. The character of discretional fiscal policy was evaluated on the basis of cyclically adjusted primary balance, as well as positive or negative output gap. The empirical results show that fiscal policy is not always cyclically appropriate for all 16 Polish regions.mThe reason for this is divergence among Polish regions both in the matter of regional business cycle morphology, and in the aspect of phase shifts.


Palabras clave:

fiscal policy, business cycle, region



Publicado
2018-02-12

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Kotliński, K., & Warżała, R. (2018). Fiscal Policy and Regional Business Cycles in Poland. Olsztyn Economic Journal, 13(1), 57–68. https://doi.org/10.31648/oej.24

Kamil Kotliński 
Department of Macroeconomics, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn
Rafał Warżała 
Department of Macroeconomics, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn



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