Cluster analysis of travel behaviour threats in chosen European functional urban areas during the economic crisis

Marta Gross; Małgorzata Dudzińska; Agnieszka  Dawidowicz; Ada Wolny-Kucińska

doi:10.31648/aspal.10095

Published: 2024-10-301

Vol. 23 No. 3 (2024)

Cluster analysis of travel behaviour threats in chosen European functional urban areas during the economic crisis

Marta Gross

, Małgorzata Dudzińska , Agnieszka Dawidowicz , Ada Wolny-Kucińska

Acta Scientiarum Polonorum Administratio Locorum

Section: Articles

https://doi.org/10.31648/aspal.10095

Abstract

Motives: Urban mobility models are constantly changing due to economic, social, infrastructural, and geographical factors. Preferences for transport modes vary by country, region, and city, and transport infrastructure and policy have a significant impact on residents’ choices. Additionally, economic factors such as economic crises, public policy decisions, and events such as armed conflicts have a significant impact on the dynamics of mobility in functional urban areas (FUAs).
Aim: The main goal of the research was to create groups of countries (clusters) that have similar priorities regarding travel behaviour threats revealed as a result of the economic crisis resulting from the conflict in Ukraine.
Results: The study shows that the main threats during the economic crisis (resulting from the war in Ukraine) are economic factors (e.g., ticket prices, an increase in fuel costs), legal factors (e.g., loss of a driving license or passenger transport license), and infrastructural factors (e.g., poor condition of infrastructure). The analysed countries were grouped based on the hierarchical prioritization of threats, using Ward’s hierarchical clustering method. Interestingly, the distance from the conflict epicentre did not significantly influence the prioritization of threat factors influencing transportation behaviour in FUAs. Instead, factors such as membership in international organizations, energy dependence on Russia, the level of economic growth, and transport infrastructure played a more key role in the priority-setting process.

Keywords:

travel behaviour, threat factors, conflict, economic crisis, European case study, Ukraine

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Gross, M., Dudzińska, M., Dawidowicz, A. ., & Wolny-Kucińska, A. (2024). Cluster analysis of travel behaviour threats in chosen European functional urban areas during the economic crisis. Acta Scientiarum Polonorum Administratio Locorum, 23(3), 425–443. https://doi.org/10.31648/aspal.10095

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Marta Gross

marta.gross@uwm.edu.pl
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8599-351X

Affiliation:

University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn Poland

Małgorzata Dudzińska

Affiliation:

University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn Poland

Agnieszka Dawidowicz

Affiliation:

University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn Poland

Ada Wolny-Kucińska

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8571-2776

Affiliation:

University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn Poland