Theoretical approaches to the analysis of ‘colour revolutions’ in post-Soviet space
Theoretical approaches to the analysis of ‘colour revolutions’ in post-Soviet space
Liana Hurska-Kowalczyk
Uniwersytet SzczecińskiAbstract
The objective of this article is an overview and analysis of three theoretical approaches applied to ‘colour revolutions’ (wide anti-government protests in the area of the former ZSSR, which led to changes in governments), considered as 1) a way to re-activate the process of democratization in post-Soviet countries, based on Samuel P. Huntington’s concept of the waves of democracy (Valerie Bunce, Sharon Wolchik, Thomas Carothers, Mark Beissinger, Michael McFaul, Taras Kuzio); 2) the effect of the impact of structural factors (Lucan Way, Steven Levitsky, Katya Kalandadze, Mitchell Orenstein); 3) a method to transform “post-soviet neopatrimonial regimes”, founded on the paradigms of patronal politics (Henry Hale, Rałał Czachor, Vladimir Gel’man, Ołeksandr Fisun).
Keywords:
‘colour revolution’, ‘electoral revolution’, democratization, patronal politics, post-Soviet spaceReferences
BAGDASARYAN, V. [= Багдасарян, В.] (2017), Мир под прицелом революции, Санкт Петерсбург. Google Scholar
BEISSINGER, M. R. (2007), Structure and Example in Modular Political Phenomena: The Diffusion of Bulldoz-er/Rose/Orange/Tulip Revolutions. In: Perspectives on Politics. 5(2), 259-271.
Crossref
Google Scholar
BUNCE, V. J./WOLCHIK, S. L. (2011), Defeating Authoritarian Leaders in Postcommunist Countries. New York. Google Scholar
BUNCE, V. J./WOLCHIK, S. L. (2006a), Favorable Conditions and Electoral Revolutions. In: Journal of Democ-racy. 17(4), 5-18.
Crossref
Google Scholar
BUNCE, V. J./WOLCHIK, S. L. (2006b), International diffusion and postcommunist electoral revolutions. In: Communist and Post-Communist Studies. 39, 283-304.
Crossref
Google Scholar
CAROTHERS, Th. (2006), The Backlash Against Democracy Promotion. In: Foreign Affairs. II. In: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2006-03-01/backlash-against-democracy-promotion [access: 30 VII 2018].
Crossref
Google Scholar
CHEYL, G. [= Хейл, Г.] (2008), Президентский режим, революция и демократия. В: Pro et Contra. I, 6-21. Google Scholar
CZACHOR, R. (2015), Postradzieckie reżimy polityczne w perspektywie neopatrymonialnej. Wstęp do badań. Wrocław. Google Scholar
GAPICH, A. E/LUSHNIKOV, D. A. [Гапич, А. Э./Лушников, Д. А.] (2014), Технологии „цветных революций”. Москва. Google Scholar
GEL’MAN, V. [= Гельман, В.] (2013), Из огня да в полымя: российская политика после СССР. Санкт-Петербург. Google Scholar
GILYEV, A. [= Гилев, А.] (2010), Политические трансформации на постсоветском пространстве: Do revolutions matter? В: Гельман, В./ Марганий, О. (ред.) Пути модернизации: траектории, развилки и тупики. Санкт-Петербург, 352–381. Google Scholar
HALE, H. E. (2006), Democracy or autocracy on the march? The colored revolutions as normal dynamics of patronal presidentialism. In: Communist and Post-Communist Studies. 39(3), 305-329.
Crossref
Google Scholar
HALE, H. E. (2015), Patronal Politics: Eurasian Regime Dynamics in Comparative Perspective. New York.
Crossref
Google Scholar
HALE, H. E. (2005), Regime Cycles: Democracy, Autocracy, and Revolution in Post-Soviet Eurasia. In: World Politics. 58(1), 133-165.
Crossref
Google Scholar
HALE, H. E. (2016) 25 Years after the USSR: what’s gone wrong? In: Journal of Democracy. 27(3), 24-35.
Crossref
Google Scholar
HUNTINGTON, S. P. (1995), Trzecia fala demokratyzacji. Warszawa. Google Scholar
KALANDADZE, K./ORENSTEIN, M. A. (2009), Electoral Protests and Democratization Beyond the Color Revolutions. In: Comparative Political Studies. 42(11),1403-1425.
Crossref
Google Scholar
KARA-MURZA, S. G./ALEKSANDROV, A. A./MURASHKIN, M. A. et al. [= Кара-Мурза, С. Г./Александров, А. А./Мурашкин, М. А. et al.] (2005), Экспорт революции. Ющенко, Саакашвили... Москва. Google Scholar
KUZIO, T. (2008), Democratic Breakthroughs and Revolutions in Five Post-Communist Countries: Comparative Perspectives on the Fourth Wave. In: Demokratizatsiya. 16(1), 97–109.
Crossref
Google Scholar
LAFLEND, Dzh. [= Лафленд, Дж.] (2008), Техника государственного переворота В: Нарочницкая Н. А. (ред.), Оранжевые сети: от Белграда до Бишкека. Санкт-Петербург, 23-38. Google Scholar
LEVITSKY, S./L. A. WAY (2010), Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War. New York.
Crossref
Google Scholar
LEVITSKY, S./WAY, L.A. (2002), Elections without Democracy. The Rise of Competitive Authoritarianism. In: Journal of Democracy. 13(2), 51—65.
Crossref
Google Scholar
MATSIYEVSKY, Y. [= Мацієвський, Ю.] (2016), У пастці гібридності: зиґзаґи трансформацій політичного режиму в Україні (1991-2014). Чернівці. Google Scholar
MCFAUL, M. (2002), The Fourth Wave of Democracy and Dictatorship: Noncooperative Transitions in the Postcommunist. In: World Politics. 54(2), 212–244.
Crossref
Google Scholar
MCFAUL, M. (2010), The Missing Variable: The “International System” as the Link between Third and Fourth Wave Models of Democratization. In: Bunce, V./ McFaul, M./ Stoner-Weiss, K. (eds.), Democracy and Authoritarianism in the Postcommunist World. New York, s. 3-29.
Crossref
Google Scholar
MCFAUL, M. (2005), Transitions from Postcommunism In: Journal of Democracy. 16(3), 5-19.
Crossref
Google Scholar
FISUN, A. [Фисун, А.] (2006), Политическая экономия „цветных” революций: неопатримониальная интер-претация. В: Прогнозис. III, 211-244. Google Scholar
WAY, L. A. (2005), Kuchma's Failed Authoritarianism. In: Journal of Democracy. 16(2), 131-145.
Crossref
Google Scholar
WAY, L. A. (2008,) The Real Causes of the Color Revolutions. In: Journal of Democracy. 19(3), 55-69.
Crossref
Google Scholar
Uniwersytet Szczeciński
